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Euro in Danger?

You are currently viewing the articles from Wednesday, February 24th, 2010

Here is a good article that i found from Bloomberg stating Greeces credit rating might be lowered and the Euro losing ground against the USD and the Euro to new yearly lows…… This will have a huge impact on the precious metals markets….

“The euro fell toward a one-year low against the yen on speculation Greece’s credit rating will be downgraded as the country struggles to push through fiscal cuts demanded by the European Union.

Europe’s single currency also dropped toward a nine-month low against the dollar after Standard & Poor’s said it may cut Greece’s rating again by the end of March as a weak economy and political opposition threaten the nation’s ability to reduce the EU’s largest budget deficit. The dollar gained against 15 of its 16 major counterparts before a report today forecast to show U.S. durable goods orders increased.

“There are concerns that Greece may not be rescued,” said Satoshi Okagawa, head of the foreign-exchange forward trading group at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp. in Tokyo. “This is causing selling of the euro and buying of the yen, and leading to risk aversion.”

The euro dropped to 121.10 yen as of 11:09 a.m. in Tokyo from 122.03 yen in New York yesterday. It fell to 120.71 yen on Feb. 5, the lowest since Feb. 24, 2009.

The 16-nation euro declined to $1.3494 from $1.3538. It touched $1.3444 on Feb. 19, the lowest since May 18. The European currency has fallen 2.6 percent versus the dollar this month, heading for a third monthly loss, its longest stretch since November 2008. The dollar fell to 89.75 yen from 90.15 yen.

The cost of protecting against default on Greek government bonds increased 13 basis points to 384 yesterday, according to CMA DataVision prices.

Rating Downgrade

“We believe that a further downgrade of Greece of one to two notches is possible within a month,” S&P analysts led by Marko Mrsnik in London said in a statement released late yesterday.

S&P cut Greece’s rating twice in December to BBB+ and signaled at the time it may lower it again. Greece has struggled to persuade investors it can slash its budget deficit from last year’s 12.7 percent of gross domestic product.

“I’m not sure if other nations have enough resources to help Greece,” said Tsutomu Soma, a bond and currency dealer at Okasan Securities Co. in Tokyo. “If the issue is neglected, that will stoke concerns about the euro. The dollar remains strong against the euro on a relative basis.”

Bookings for durable goods in the U.S. climbed 1.5 percent last month after rising 0.3 percent in December, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey before the Commerce Department reports the data today. ”

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=ar1hGOR.9mw4

Gold Liquidation

You are currently viewing the articles from Monday, February 8th, 2010

Gold liquidated some $75 last week to $1,045 as the Euro/USD gained momentum with Greece’s inability to their pay debt.  The $1,070 did hold very well but ultimately the selling pressure was to much and thats when you had it sel right to $1,045 with many sell stops being activated below $1,070.  Now the next support is this $1,035 level and I believe you will see some buyers at that level.

Gold at crucial support levels

You are currently viewing the articles from Monday, January 25th, 2010

The gold market has sold off in recent weeks as the USD takes a serious charge against other currencies to liquidate the market from $1,158 to $1,085.  There is a huge support level at $1,070 and this should be used to bottom feed the market if it gets backj down there.  looks like the Euro/USD has found a bit of a bottom at $1.40 so that should help steady the price of the Gold market for now.  It is amazing that Gold hasn’t sold off more on the move in the Euro/USD from $1.52 to $1.40.  Gold is only down $120  or 6% in that time.

Gold now regaining form to start 2010, Silver posts bigger gains

You are currently viewing the articles from Tuesday, January 12th, 2010

Gold has now regained the form it saw in 2009 to start the year off with a $80 rally from $1,070 to $1,150 as the USD weakens against a basket of other major currencies.  The USD had gained momentum heading into 2010 but has lost some steam with the Euro/USD trading from $1.42 to $1.45 increasing the appeal for the precious metals markets.  Silver is actually outperforming Gold here as this market trades up to a high of $18.70.  This market couldn’t get passed the $18.50 market last year but so far has been doing quite well now looking to head to $19.  It seems that the sell off to end 2009 was a huge buying opportunity for some investors and now is looking back to form in the new year.

Dubai Gives a scare to the markets!!

You are currently viewing the articles from Monday, November 30th, 2009

While everyone was enjoying their Thanksgiving Day, there was some big news impacting the financial world as the Dubai Govt has asked investors to extend the maturity of upcoming debt amortizations of two of its state-owned companies, Dubai World and its real estate development arm Nakheel,until 30 May 2010. Subsequently, the Dubai government has authorized Dubai Financial Support Fund to “restructure Dubai World with immediate effect”.  Technically, this does not constitute a sovereign default, since there are no sovereign guarantees on Dubai World and its subsidiaries; in fact, the government issued a decree earlier this year stating that it will not underwrite liabilities of Dubai World. But it was the government rather than the company that announced the stand still over the holioday, and investors can be forgiven for regarding the finances of the emirate and of its wholly-owned subsidiaries as not clearly distinguishable.  This did have an impact on the USD as investors rushed in to the oversold market and took risk off of commodities sending oil lower by -$5.00 at one point and Gold down -$50 respectively.  The market has quickly regained the momentum as the United Arab Emirates’ central bank said it would back the country’s lenders from a possible default by Dubai World, easing concerns of an economic slowdown.  This remains to be seen as either a temporary fix or if there are actual big-time problems with Dubai and it’s liquidity.  For now the markets like the news from the UAE and commodities are rebounding.

Gold Reaching $1,180!!

You are currently viewing the articles from Wednesday, November 25th, 2009

Gold is reaching $1,180/oz on the Comex exchange as the USD keeps losing steam against other major currencies.  The Euro/USD is reaching that all amiportant triple top of $1.5050 so it will be interesting to see what Gold will do when the Dollar gets there again.

Gold keeps on rallying!! Will this ever stop?!?!?!

You are currently viewing the articles from Monday, November 16th, 2009

The Gold market has mad another new high, this time at $1,133.5 as the USD continues to weaken.  The Euro/USD is looking to head to $1.50 and the Gold market is following suit, rallying right along with.  $1,150 seems like the next logical target, but it is hard to pick a number up there seeing as how the market has never been up there before.

Gold Surges on the back of India’s Huge Purchase

You are currently viewing the articles from Friday, November 6th, 2009

Gold has surged $60 the past week as word got out that the Indian Central Bank bought 200 metric tons of the yellow metal worth apporximately 6.7 billion USD.  To give you an idea of how significant this is, it is equivalent to 8% of the total mining of Gold in the World.  This led traders to buy up the precious metal and now the market is at significant number of $1,100.  This seems to be a small speed bump of what will be higher prices to come.

Euro/USD breaks $1.50 and Weekend at the Borgata

You are currently viewing the articles from Friday, October 23rd, 2009

The Euro/USD broke the $1.50 mark this week, but did not really affect the price of Gold and Silver as they have stayed in the range of $1,045-$1,069 and $17.25-$18.00 respectively.   We will see how this affects the price of these precious metals going forward.  Copper however has made a new high as this just broke the $3.00 level on rallying equities.

I will be headed to the Borgata tomorrow for a fun weekend of Poker.  Playing some No Limit Hold for me is a nice way to relax and get away from things for a little while.

Gold above $1,050 Silver approaching $18

You are currently viewing the articles from Monday, October 12th, 2009

We are seeing the rush into Gold and Silver as the USD continues to weaken again.  It seems like this is a broken record but right now it doesn’t look like anything can stop this freight train at the moment.  Keep an eye on the USD this week as we get earnings announcements from major companies that could affect the USD and the precious metals.

Daniel Cronin
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